News
Evan Bartlett
Feb 04, 2015
A number of high profile Labour and Liberal Democrat MPs will lose their seats to SNP politicians in the general election, according to the latest polling from Lord Ashcroft.
Danny Alexander, the chief secretary to the Treasury, and Douglas Alexander, Labour's shadow foreign secretary (pictured), are the two biggest casualties on the list and Labour's shadow Scottish secretary Margaret Curran could also lose her seat.
Lord Ashcroft - a Conservative peer and owner of the ConservativeHome website - polled 16,007 people in 16 different SNP target constituencies and found that the only seat being held by its current MP was Glasgow North East - Labour's Willie Bain.
Ashcroft's polling suggests the following seats will be won by the SNP in May:
Danny Alexander, Lib Dem - Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey
Malcolm Bruce (standing down), Lib Dem - Gordon
Pamela Nash, Labour - Airdrie and Shotts
Tom Clarke, Labour - Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill
Gregg McClymont, Lab - Cumbernauld Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East
Jim McGovern, Lab - Dundee West
Anas Sarwar, Lab - Glasgow Central
Margaret Curran, Lab - Glasgow East
Ann McKechin, Lab - Glasgow North
John Robertson, Lab - Glasgow North West
Tom Harris, Lab - Glasgow South
Ian Davison, Lab - Glasgow South West
Frank Roy, Lab - Motherwell and Wishaw
Douglas Alexander, Lab - Paisley and Renfrewshire South
Gemma Doyle, Lab - West Dunbartonshire
Lord Ashcroft warns that the polls provide a "snapshot" rather than a prediction and points out that the current margin of support for the SNP is still very slim in some constituencies.
Nevertheless, the Independent's political correspondent James Cusick reports that: "Labour’s 56-year dominance of general elections in Scotland is forecast to end with a revolutionary shift to the SNP.
"The survey predicts the demise of the frontline careers of many of Scotland’s big-hitting pro-union politicians."
You can see the full results of the poll on the Lord Ashcroft Polls website.
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